A worked example
Three attempts at 50% each give an 87.5% chance of at least one success.
Find the chance of at least one success in independent attempts.
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At least one = 1 − (1−p)^attempts. Expected success count = attempts × p.
Three attempts at 50% each give an 87.5% chance of at least one success.
Only independent identical attempts. Not a prediction of an individual outcome.
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