A worked example
Three d6, success on 5 or 6, at least one success gives 70.370%.
Success pool
Find the chance of at least k successes across a fair dice pool.
YOUR LITTLE WORKBENCH
ON YOUR DEVICE ✦Success pool
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THE METHOD / 01
A clear wayfrom start to finish.
One die succeeds on faces ≥ threshold. A binomial recurrence combines independent successes.
Keep the assumptions clear
No exploding dice, rerolls or game-specific rules. Threshold may be sides + 1 to model no possible success.
A FEW USEFUL ANSWERS
Good to know.
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